By Dylan R.N. Crabb
Should we expect another gov’t shutdown in February?
The funding lapse in the United States government has been temporarily resolved ending the 35-day shutdown. President Donald Trump has explained publicly that this deal would give back-pay to furloughed federal employees but he is also NOT giving up his fight for his border wall.
How long will this temporary reprieve last? 3 weeks. The national Congress will need to spar over funding again come February 15.
The U.S./Mexico border wall was a big campaign promise for President Trump back in 2016 and he has repeated the applause line at several rallies since his 2016 victory. Considering the president’s stand-offish nature that we’ve seen in media appearances, I expect him to stick to that campaign promise to protect his own pride. Although, it’s ironic that this gov’t shutdown is over border security because border security-law enforcement agents including T.S.A. agents and air traffic controllers are among the federal employees that were working without pay.
“While most government shutdowns are of relatively short duration, they all result in the disruption to government services and increased costs to the government – and thus taxpayers – due to lost labor. According to the financial rating agency Standard & Poor’s, the 16-day shutdown from October 1, to October 17, 2013, had ‘taken $24 billion out of the economy,’ and ‘shaved at least 0.6 percent off annualized fourth-quarter 2013 GDP growth’ (Tom Murse, <https://www.thoughtco.com/government-shutdown-history-3368274>, 2019).”
Should we start expecting a gov’t shutdown under every new president?
President Trump’s gov’t shutdown was about border security and a proposed border wall that some conservatives are claiming will be an effective tactic against illegal immigration. The question of a border wall’s actual effectiveness is another discussion.
Back in 2013, there was a gov’t shutdown perpetuated by the Republican Party (who then controlled the U.S. House of Representatives) in which Republicans demanded a repeal of President Barack Obama’s arguably signature legislation, the Affordable Care Act (controversely nick-named “Obamacare.”)
Back in 1995, there was a gov’t shudown over apparently grim economic forecasts. Then House Republicans expressed concerned about the Clinton Administration’s budget effects on the national deficit.
Are gov’t shutdowns becoming more and more common as partisan tensions continue to heat up? As we move forward, is each subsequent Congress going to have its own battle over the national budget? That doesn’t sound like it will go well with lower class American workers who are being squeezed every year with low wages and a lack of consistent healthcare coverage.
The solution is more home-rule.
I think a solution to extreme polarization in the national government is for citizens to reconnect with each other at the lower government levels. Federal elected officials are at historic low approval ratings which means the American public largely does not trust its national leaders. However; voter turn-out is also plummeting in local elections. This is bad news across the board. Regardless of our outlook on our federal leaders, Americans need to remain involved in our home communities. If we’re unhappy with our federal leaders then we should be able to turn to our respective states and localities to pick up the slack. That is exactly what was originally intended with our democratic-republican, federalist system of government – multiple governments acting as checks on each other’s power.